May 19, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Call Me | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Papa Zulu | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orpheus (ARG) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kenyan | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Old Upstart | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Tariff Tantrum | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Value Engineering | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Last Zip | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exult | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Downside Risk | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Binary | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geography | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Third Card Down | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tiz R Bella | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evan’s Nice Now | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dazzling Speed | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aly’s All Out | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s a Lumberjane | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Conquest | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Cabinet | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Osare | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scottish Jig | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violet Blue | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferdinanda | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaylan | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J J Jen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Lough Na Mona | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Niko’s Dream | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bangle Gal | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Honorable Rose | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Kerry’s Ring | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rossellini | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sterling Beauty | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crescent Lady | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crater Rim | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barton Hall | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Seven North | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancing Slippers | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mental Model | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cavaradossi | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Right Hand | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Storm | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Focus | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zorbed | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 11 | Vincento | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Summer Revolution | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Applicator | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Abiding Star | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Spear | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harv Won’t Tap | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr Maybe | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Shalako | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mills | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indebted | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knarsdale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bingwa | 1.40 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cache | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Deal | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chamber | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sinwaan | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jump for Joy | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Babe | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Low Is Laine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Marie’s Tuff | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tempers Way | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Middle Out | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Handle With Care | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | It’s a Lovely Day | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Expense | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Savings | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Katook | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Goose | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disquiet | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violetas Visions | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ferncourt | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Knight | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.