May 18, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rockyroadto Dublin |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Typically |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lilibet |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Capoeira |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Moon |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Munnings Beach |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fleck |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Nashville Knight |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tale of the Nile |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marten River |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forest Brother |
1.20 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Majestic Slew |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Forester’s Forum |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spanish Express |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Selene S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bold Script |
0.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Power Gal (JPN) |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Souper Charlotte |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Preferred Guest |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Above All Names |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Pink Scribbles |
1.60 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Ariel |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peace Control |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nearly Missed |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fine Lady |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sayso |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Souper Pecan |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vinyasa |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cara Lucia |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Megalin Candy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Express |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
A B Codeofhonor |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Conquest Rapiduno |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Zlatica |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Retreat |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Li’l Miss Trouble |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spanish Blessing |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crumlin Express |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Fire for Effect |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shakhimat |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Special Forces |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
O’Kratos |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freitag |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cooler Mike |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
King and His Court |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sir Sahib |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Artistico |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baytown Jimbo |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Courtly Manner |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coleyville |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Western Crusader |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tale of Vienna |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tinker Ring |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tappitty Tappitty |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Behave |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maritime Breeze |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amalfi Coast |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Street Zapper |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ready and Perfect |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Canary Song |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Battle of Yorktown |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Victor’s Destiny |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gottoknowrightnow |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hungary |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
A Mi Dat |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unyielding |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cardiff Hall |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Final Turn |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Leopoldo |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Harper P M |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sandy Bay |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Water Polo |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
7 |
Miracle Silver |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Donnie Brasco |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Station Rock |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
8 |
Ginger Sky |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Handsome Like Me |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Bay of Rum |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Eboracum |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.