May 18, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Troutman | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Greywolf | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Combat Zone | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tartini | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast as Cass | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taste’s Legend | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Beam | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Sky Logan | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broke Away Grey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King Caymus | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Probable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Meso | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thanks | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Info’s Treasure | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Brite Eye | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hilltop Harmony | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetest Caroline | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Witches Brew | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | G Q Covergirl | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Left Alone (GB) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentan Road | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swirling | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Hope (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Ice | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen of the Track | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | True Validity | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot On the Trail | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Time for Suzzie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Rose | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Interesting Times | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Tea All Shade | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boolicious | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Accountability | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bellerin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Via Egnatia | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jungle Warfare | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colosi | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Street Fighter | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hardboot | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Major Cabbie | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Chila | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Lifeline | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Overdue | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alive and Well | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lomu | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Treasure | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Posterize | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Satchel Paige | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Play Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Twisted Plot | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Barrel | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidepocket Action | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger On Your Six | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamic Duo | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Melbo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love and Hold | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Querelle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Peter’s Kitten | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Space Talk (GB) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silken Spy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Blame Judy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A Walk in the Park | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | An Eddie Surprise | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Lubie | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Qafilah (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lazaro Barrera S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Gusto | 0.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparky Ville | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vantastic | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manhattan Up | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Principe Carlo | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Synthesis | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Next Gen | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Call You Tomorrow | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortnite Dance | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’tteasethetiger | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Image | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deep Thinker (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Charlie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Blue Grass | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Dodge | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carribean Colours | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mad At Money | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Go Sammy Go | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Muscle Head | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dieci | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Flying Flirt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bellize | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Claudelle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Moreisbetter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Barbadolla | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Me Mo My | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Hot Legs | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Busy Paynter | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Peridot | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiana’s Love | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pink Scatillac | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girona | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Bunny | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saving Sophie | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.