May 18, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
No Worries Mate |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Hay Boy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Fernwood Drive |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Shelly Island |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Friendly Fire |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Cyclobomb |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
13 |
11 |
Creative Artist |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Turnstyle |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
14 |
12 |
Eliav |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
9 |
Loudon’s Song |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Second Encore |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
Top Hat Hustle |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
15 |
13 |
Itshouldbefine |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Willie the Whale |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
10 |
Im the Game |
50.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brooklyn Sardy |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Blame the Kids |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Liquid Aloha |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Front Line Paige |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Roman Approval |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Nigel’s Destiny |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Minister’s Strike |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sir Brahms |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Whirlin Curlin |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
He’s One Wild Dude |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Huyana |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Sir Barton S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pretty Good Year |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Top Line Growth |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
King for a Day |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
V. I. P. Ticket |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Tone Broke |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trifor Gold |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Veil Dance |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Not Sure |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Hip Hop |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Misty On Pointe |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
14 |
13 |
Kitty’s Right |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
11 |
Salt Pond |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Glittering Judy |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ying Yue |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Unbridled Escape |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sexyama |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Elverson |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Margie Is Livid |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
13 |
12 |
Umightbeanempress |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Roman Holiday |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
15 |
14 |
Ms Eileen |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
River Gal |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Eons |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Empire of War |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Current |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Real News |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
War Film |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shootin the Breeze |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Tybalt |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
English Bee |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Thomas Shelby |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Gearhead |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Maryland Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Always Sunshine |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lewisfield |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Wentz |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
Proforma |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fellowship |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
New York Central |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Parade of Nations |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Searching S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Osare |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Violet Blue |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Coachwhip |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Ickymasho (GB) |
1.60 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Homeland Security |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
6 |
Peach of a Gal |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Vevina |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Layla Noor |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
So Innocent |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
I’m an Ocala Dude |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Jefazo |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dirtyfoot |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Articulator |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Overdeliver |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bozzini |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maranatha |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Passcode |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Day the Music Died |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jo Jo Air |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Misericordia (GB) |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dare to Be |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Souper Echo |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild About Star |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angel At War |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not in Jeopardy |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eye On Berlin |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bath And Tennis (IRE) |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hogans Holiday |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Inflexibility |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Viva Vegas |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mitchell Road |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m So Fancy (IRE) |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thewayiam (FR) |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Barkaa (FR) |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
In the Lee |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dynatail |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Malpais |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Preamble |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pyron |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gladiator King |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Still Dreaming |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Admiral Lynch |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lexitonian |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cabot |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Confessor |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Dixie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Twenty Four Seven |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Flameaway |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
9 |
Inspector Lynley |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
12 |
10 |
Catholic Boy |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Have At It |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Real Story |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Something Awesome |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Just Howard |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Phlash Phelps |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Admission Office |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
O Dionysus |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Paret (AUS) |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Improbable |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
War of Will |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alwaysmining |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Owendale |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bourbon War |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Anothertwistafate |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Win Win Win |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Warrior’s Charge |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Signalman |
30.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bodexpress |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Market King |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Everfast |
50.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Laughing Fox |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shackled Romance |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Glory Song |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Enqueteur |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Firecrow |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gnarly Mo |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Runforthemunnings |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Blessed Arion |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Kneesinthebreeze |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Abazillion |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.