May 18, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mysterio |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Krammy Boy |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rosas for Jimmy |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Prince |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zaman |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Computer |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marnesia One Step |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gem Juan |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sunshines Out |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Special Counsel |
1.40 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Schmiss |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flying Girl |
30.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Galileo’s Affair |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Motion’s First |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashing Diamond |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kittian Hill |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Good Timing Man |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Youshouldbesolucky |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Undaunted |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
10 |
9 |
Notorious Nick |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Risk Reversal |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Overwatch |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ten Carat Daddy |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Well Written |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Riley Rules |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Primo Posto |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Forty’s Sweetheart |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trappe Me Later |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cuckoo Kenia |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Northern Wind |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Liza Star |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
She Nailed It |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Surprise |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing Noelle |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kong Style |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Dunk |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Scotuscare |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Tiger Blood |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Swagger |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Very Colorful |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Go Gone Gone |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Visions of You |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salambo |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Enduring Arch |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Gemologister |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
10 |
Gran Togoshi |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
K C Twostep |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Plea Bargain |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Fulgencio |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Johnny Tickets |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Zeus |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Early Deligh |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rigo |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Captain Bober |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
11 |
Yale Deal |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Allaboutthebeach |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Nation U S A |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Perfect Enough |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Ifeelgood |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Drill Down |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Pescecane |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Leonardo |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wine At the Beach |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starship Fonzy |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scoobydoopapa |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Itsmyluckysummer |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Five Star Recruit |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leaveittoquay |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
11 |
Prolific Runner |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
U. S. Coast Guard |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Buzz On By |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Vinnie Van Go |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Oh Danny Bear |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Steady Earner |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yodel E. A. Who |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eights and Aces |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Logsdon |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Followhisfootsteps |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rayo My King |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eternal Cross |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Shanghai Noon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Armchair Jockey |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Zacapa Run |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Scatsuku |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Cat Prado |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Oskar Blues |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silver Beach |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
12 |
11 |
Crown Romance |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brag Dude |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Live Like Larry |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Ranger’s Coming |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Mighty Judge |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Best Thunder |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Chaval |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Osvaldo |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
More Than Teddy |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Musical Romance S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Oola Gal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Stormy Embrace |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady’s Island |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Pure Lemon |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starcloud |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heiressall |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Starship Bonita |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flora Fantasy |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Major Key |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Areyoutalkingtome |
3.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
10 |
9 |
Arpinella |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Fast |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marco Mischief |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spa Jazz |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wigwam Summer |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cadillac Kitten |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Schweets |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
America’s Simmard |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lefty Comming |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Chantilly Lilly |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Herecomestheghost |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dillon’s Kitty |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Chief Bow No Move |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Dalal |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Queen Smart |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
6 |
Sassy Lassy |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
2 |
Sierra Love |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
12 |
8 |
Backcat |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
13 |
9 |
Princess Latina |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
3 |
Lady Alidett |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
16 |
10 |
Elusive Aura |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
4 |
Golden Tiara |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
7 |
Blue Blue Ice |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
5 |
La Rubirosa |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Kylesnorthernstar |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.