May 17, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Equal Measure | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Field Bet | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Bee | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunriser | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Luck | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royally Bland | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twinkle Dream | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calentita (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheer Flattery | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matriculate | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spokane Eagle | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Roar | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Currency | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cal’s Gem | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Project Leader | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bam Bam Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Side Street Dave | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zero Down | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Tigre Terrible | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shady Empire | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kenzlee’s Gov | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | You’reright Again | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot Socks | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pour On the Cole | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hansen Tale Blues | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetener | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Moments | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Amanda | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Desire | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Osteria | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Omnipotent | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Beyonce | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Terrible Ted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Oh Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Teacher’s Treasure | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morgan S. | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Eddie | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Jackson | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prodigal Son | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Psycho Dar | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hollywood Dancer | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Salute to Lt Dan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Downside Up | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Market Sentiment | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honeymoonz Over | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Union Rebel | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Cotton | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ayacara (GB) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Curly’s Mark | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Queen | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holly Hundy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Dance | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Square Peggy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cavernndchipmunks (FR) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shes All Woman | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muthhila (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Daddys Real Diva | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Dime for Me | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vella | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte Louise | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | And Counting | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sure Angel | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilhelmina’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Necklace | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Street | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.