May 17, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Gaby Vee |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cut Time |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Eifs |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Queens Or Better |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Midnight Mass |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Cyclical |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Simmard Shenanigan |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Pictura |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Pigeon Creek |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Trulee Ann |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Freedom Queen |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
12 |
11 |
Merry Maid |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Expect Talk |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Hey Prez |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Junipero Avenue |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Seville Barber |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Godlovesasinner |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Maryland Pride |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
9 |
7 |
Rumson Rally |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
6 |
Family Tree (GB) |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
14 |
10 |
Animal Kingston |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jo’s Bold Cat |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
8 |
Boundary Pass |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Leonard |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nicki de Nephew |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12 |
9 |
Frathouse Music |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Can’t Pass It Up |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Rockstar Girl |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fleeterthan |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trapped N My Mind |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
China Cat |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bodhicitta |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Instinctive |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tobago |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
One Odd Story |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Suzzette Star |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Time Flies By |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kukulkan |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love Me Thrice |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Railmaster |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paid Holiday |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ready to Run |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Belmullet |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rising Perry |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dapper Mun |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
She Be Sassy |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Barbsgray Lion |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Majestic Reason |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Final Form |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Three Hawk |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
The Aurelia Factor |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Marvelous Martina |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
9 |
Disclude |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Olive Kat |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Drops and Buckets |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Saltworks |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Liberty Lane |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Shazier |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Never Nevermore |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Hard Fought |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Largent |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sindarius |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Seeking the Sunset |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Eons |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
12 |
11 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
13 |
12 |
Toe Curlin’ Kiss |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
16 |
13 |
Back to Back |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Makes Mo Cents |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
11 |
10 |
Smokin Hot Factor |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Partisan Divide |
50.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Posterity |
50.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paratycachaca |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Skipat S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Adios Annie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Chalon |
1.20 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hailey’s Flip |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Maybe Wicked |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Everlasting Secret |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Estilo Femenino |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Anna’s Bandit |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Majestic Won |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Last True Love |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Phantom Shot |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Adena Springs Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Sue’s Fortune |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Miss Imperial |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Best Kept Secret |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Iva |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Covfefe |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
11 |
8 |
Fighting Mad |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Congrats Gal |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
9 |
Midnight Fantasy |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Please Flatter Me |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
7 |
Bye Bye J |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Never Enough Time |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Tomlin |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Brunette Princess |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
9 |
Her Royal Highness |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Be Nimble |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Primela (FR) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Venetian Princess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Fashion Faux Pas |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
9 |
7 |
Introduced |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
9 |
Orra Moor |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Makeme Dream |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Nova Sol (GER) |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dogtag |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ebullient |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
14 |
10 |
Souper Escape |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Who U Gonna Call |
50.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Cover Photo |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pimlico Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
War Story |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Rally Cry |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
13 |
12 |
You’re to Blame |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Unbridled Juan |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Carlino |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
10 |
Flameaway |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cordmaker |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tenfold |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Heavy Roller |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
14 |
13 |
Clubman |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Just Whistle |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Flying the Flag |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
11 |
Wait for It |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Bobby G |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Diane |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Cookie Dough |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Point of Honor |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
Brill |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Always Shopping |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Off Topic |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Las Setas |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Ulele |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Our Super Freak |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bound for Nowhere |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Pure Sensation |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
New York’s Finest |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tricks to Doo |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Sailor |
20.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
6 |
Completed Pass |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Oldies But Goodies |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Clever Triad |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tempt Me Twice |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
My Miss Lilly |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mylady Curlin |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Award |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gio Game |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Another Broad |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Timeless Curls |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Isotope |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
She’slikethewind |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Pantyhose |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Gemini Lil |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
9 |
Nevisian Sunset |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wolverette |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
12 |
10 |
Miss Jackie G |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Go Amanda |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Burak |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
15 |
12 |
That’sthewaytodoit |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Leroy’s Sweetypie |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jacobella |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Alibarbara |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Here and Now |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
13 |
11 |
Redeemed Spirit |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Along Came Mizzy |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
16 |
13 |
Play Charades |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.