May 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Money Come |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marcelino |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frankie Apps |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hard Belle |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wahoowah |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Pink Rattler |
15.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Rebelde |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smash |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shorty |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Where Ya Goin Owen |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Fast |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saratoga Breeze |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rosas Way |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silent Mischief |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Guy Caballero |
1.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
So Long Chuck |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Winking At Thedude |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Millionaire Runner |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zippy |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Papa’s Little Girl |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Blue Eyed Beth |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Glory Roll |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jazzy Beach |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prospective Diva |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Madame Barrister |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunshine Smiles |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kanholdherwine |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Vincero |
0.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Squeezadios |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chiseled |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Pinocchio |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Fog |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bondetti |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Palimpsest |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Temple |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fantasizing |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bodie Cody |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Fine Spirit |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Debbie’s Road |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Accountant Q |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rhombus |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Three Illusions |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pretty Overdriven |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gracias Adios |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Witch |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chutzpah |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Levy Land |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ojos Corazon |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Great Kath |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Too Stormy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Tide of the Desert |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
8 |
Alien Invasion |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Family Kitten |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mosca |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Shidoshi |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Manhattan Project |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Get Em Up Scout |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Friend Zone |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Santiamen |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
The Gipper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Field Trip |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Cautious Giant |
1.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Scam |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Fully Loaded |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Majestic Secret |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Majestic Luna |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Empire Power |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bold Envoy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Love Tree |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Diamond Bachelor |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strike Midnight |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jojo’s Dream |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Andronikos |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Street Code |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Judah |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cometin |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fire On Fire |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Black Prong |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bird of Peace |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lisa Mila |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chasity |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Faith Flys Again |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Zoe |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rosepath |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sonoma Storm |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unrivaled Soul |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cocktails Or Candy |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.