Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 17, 2019

May 17, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Get None 1.60 1.3 3-1
2 2 Princess Jules 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Hey Hey 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Drama Run 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Daneira 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lucky At Justice 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Constancia 8.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Point Streak 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Superstar Diva 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ain’t Dat Sweet 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 American Biz 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Templesis 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Fortressa 6.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blushing Bella 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shezahotmama 3.50 2 4-1
9 8 Looktheotherway 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Prairie Chick 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Valiant Lady 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Her Wild Lifestyle 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Nook 20.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Launch Away 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 J P’s Gia 8.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cuestion de Tiempo 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Galton 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blue Sky Kowboy 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Don’task Don’ttell 10.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Moon Over Montana 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 3 Bold Prophet 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Cammack 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 6 Reride 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 4 Chief Oakie Dokie 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 2 Skycraft 20.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Applique 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Embarrassing 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Daddy’s Boo 1.80 1.4 3-1
8 7 Fizzy Friday (GB) 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Oh So Terrible 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Strollin the Bayou 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mo’s M V P 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Drinks On Me 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Fonda Romana 15.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ohio Player 1.80 SCRATCH
8 7 Baba Tobi 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 5 Run Your Race 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Battle N Away 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Prairie Chief 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Prince Arlo 20.00 3 6-1
9 8 Charge Card 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Changn Fivehundred 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Oh So Tall 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vincitore 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Run Tappy 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Ioya Again 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Power Song 12.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Fashion Decree 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 You Split Tens 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Charlie’sarchangel 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Honest to Goodness 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Fort Ramsey 10.00 4 8-1
11 10 Dollar Blue 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Lemon Blitz 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moonlight Mischief 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Storminside 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Suspenders 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 In the Chamber 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 McHenry 3.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Antrim’s Giant 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 4 Golden Gift 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 3 Funny Questions 12.00 2 4-1
12 7 Candy My Boy 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 1 Sea Rover 12.00 3 6-1
10 5 Big Dinner 15.00 3 6-1
11 6 Papa Caliente 20.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Little Ike 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Little Baltar 4.00 1.3 3-1
9 8 Ferlin Husky 1.40 2 4-1
2 2 My Curby 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Flyingbyu 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Vapor Viper 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Savie 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Greenhorn 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Smokey Row Mac 20.00 3.6 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.