May 16, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
One King’s Man |
2.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cerebral |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mesa Sky |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Headed Jerry |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
K Street |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saturday |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zimmerman |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Platinum |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handful of Stripes |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papa Rizzo |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ras’s Rebel |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heir Horse One |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mistermischievious |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Call Me Derby |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Mumford |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
My Macho Mon |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Conspicuous Box |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
English Ransom |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Willie Ever Live |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dreamingndiamonds |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Forest |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Morning Belle |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Obvi |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Danzig Who |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
La Johnnie |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dublinthemoney |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
E Rated |
1.40 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reversaloffortune |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Collection |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Curlinate |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Retaliated |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wasabi Moon |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Imma Bling |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rockport Kat |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chief of Staff |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Toasting Master |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Guska Mon Shoes |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
St. Louie Guy |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coal Truth |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Songster |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Handsome Deputy |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bonsai Dancer |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Munnycantbuymelove |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rockin Rog |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oh Larry |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ethan’s Fury |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Comegetsome |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ognim |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Drip Brew |
1.20 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Juliet’s Music |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Serious I Candy |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kupuri |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ornamental Iron |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Faye Runaway |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Upperclassman |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jackie Blu |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Xavier Davey |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spring d’Oro |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blueskeeper |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cherokee Charlie |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Greencastle Tap |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fat Tire |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rickshaw Express |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.