Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2019

May 12, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hailey’s Prize 1.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Dolly Stormy 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Louise the Laser 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bel Ayr Bay 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Cobra Sophie 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sol Dat Sugar 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Danielle 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Forest Fairy 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mine Fast Philly 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Wuk Up Queen 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dulcibelle (GER) 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Golden Pearl 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mahone Bay 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ciuri 1.60 1.3 2-1
4 4 Hell N Wild 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Desert Poem 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Foxxy Belle 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Biddy Early 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Hurricane Emily 8.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Never Sober 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Brookies Bear 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Sav 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Georgian Dancer 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Caspian Jewel 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sweet Brynlie 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 H Is Just a Number 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Truly Honoured 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Crumlin Gal 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flashinthepants 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Khawlah 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Calais Cove 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Raspberry Wild 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Stormy Vision 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Misguided Passion 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Show Me the Prize 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Katla’s Fury 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Candy Mountain 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Forest Lass 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Lillz So Precious 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Call Me Mrs. G 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Niigon’s Vision 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 What’s the Rush 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Power House 15.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Romantic Bliss 4.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Under Lock and Key 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Northern Colors 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 I Have Feelings 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Blu Collar Romance 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Shez a Ten I Know 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ready’s Princess 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Sheztenthehardway 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tornado Cat 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sophias Dream 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fury S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Intanga Rose 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Western Curl 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Silent Mistake 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Speedy Soul 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Artilena 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Hastalavistababy 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Malibu Dawn 15.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Furiously Fast 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Dancing Doll 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Peace Seeker 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Real Coal 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Twice Around 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Rattlesnake Bite 6.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Gamble’s Candy 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ka Gee Gee 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 A Broken Breeze 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Pioneerof New York 12.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Golden Garter 8.00 3.1 6-1
13 12 Painting 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Aunt Tillie 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Magic in Malibu 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Amiens 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 I’ll Take the Gold 20.00 4.5 8-1
12 11 Mazikeen 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Miss Bobbit 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Systemic Risk 20.00 5.3 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.