May 12, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Best Two Minutes | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Shanty | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | For the Hustle | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point Guard | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tribal Roar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kristi’s Copilot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Hard to Get | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crown the Kitten | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bird Is the Word | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy the Juice | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Summer | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Big Blue Nation | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acai | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracie’s Girl | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billy K | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Thousand Dreams | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sturdy One | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scathing | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dannie Joe | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dahlia Azul | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empress of Lov | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Emmy and I | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wandering Patrol | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Annie | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shylock Eddie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Sell | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wishful | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Christy Jackson | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven Squared | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Pearl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Royale | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ron’s Cat | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scrambled | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drink | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicken Fen | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Classical | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bouncing Around | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elite Motion | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victor’s Show | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mavericks | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Knights | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Ballad | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cordiality | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Bee to You | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy Blu | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Luma | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Algorhythmic | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulpit Rider | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fiery Lady | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Kid | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halo Darlin | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crackling Bread | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heloise | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Val | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chay Up and Away | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caracortada | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Songofthedesert | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purdue | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Lately | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Radish | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodtingscominpink | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virginia Hall | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Y Not Sizzle | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opus Won | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La La Land | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Pipe | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unusual Stuff | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sidepocket Charger | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.