May 12, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu in Motion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Into Temptation | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Scoreswhenhewants | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zechariah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Casper Slew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Hardredcandy | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Rumors of Violence | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Itgot Grandma | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Torpedo Tom | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Cherie | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Robin’s Destiny | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dialin | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jazzy Juder | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shecor | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pinkout | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Veil Dance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Great Shakes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Caterina One | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shipmans Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stetson Gold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Into Bluegrass | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Marie From Parie | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Fanniebellefleming | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tac Up | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | I Am On My Way | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ginger in Disguise | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hey Prez | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Revolutionary Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Real Factor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Bandito | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mr Smurthwaite | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Three Phase | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Offerhecantrefuse | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Aussie Prayer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Include a Check | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Market Money | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chesapeake Spring | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bearsatlanticmist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Over Exposed | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Sudden Hope | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Cocktail Waitress | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Dreams Are Pazible | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Intractable | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Di Colas Cowgirl | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bobo Jones | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Quit Your Moanin | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Mine | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quickhatch | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Great Nation | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jonathan McD | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jupiter Rising | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Falcon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | What a Story | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Escrow Finnidilly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Native Flora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Been Redeemed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tracy With a Y | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Seattle Ric | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dedicated | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Golden Noguez | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Pendrell Moon | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Broker’s Reward | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offshore Trip | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Oasis | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normandy Beach | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Oz | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wall | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Gros Bill | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tri Try Colors | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasant Lee | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.