May 12, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zap Zap Zap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | T Loves a Fight | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orpheus (ARG) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maimo | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Toohottoevenspeak | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regalian | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jemography | 1.40 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wisecrack | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Manners | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Skies Forever | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ginger and Jingle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Shout | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Well in Tune | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sider On Da Mound | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiffanys Freud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sarahrini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Roses From Ben | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Athwaaq | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Slimey | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragtime Suzy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Awe Honey | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fortune’s Fool | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lion Dance | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Tocsin | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneakiness | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonhtwist | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montatham | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rally Cap | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Bo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stink Man | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shock Therapy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Money | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D Emcee | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ventus | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poker Game | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straphanger | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conforto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Elenzee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ten Eyck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Risky Sour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mend Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Time Expired | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hope Again (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 7 | Shamrock Kid | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Tiz No Bluff | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Sport | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Danny California | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rockin Jo | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fotis | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Way | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saguaro Row | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Punch | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chorus Line | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Flash | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gold Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kosciuszko | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mount Travers | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Much Better | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Paul | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wendell Fong | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Releasethethunder | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sombeyay | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Catorat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Scotty Brown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uncle Curly | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Opt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 12 | Red Zinger | 1.20 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pier Forty | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Charge | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quiet Out East | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playful Hunter | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | True Blue Giant | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Apex Predator | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | He’smyluckyfellow | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Daddy Knows | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bank Gala | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seven Plus Seven | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | El Hermano | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.