May 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Black Bess | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cindervella | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Bear | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fact Checking | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ishiyaya | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airy Fairy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hesathriller | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Eminent Force | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Florida Won | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bold Rally | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Black Sea (FR) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run Away | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carissimo | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | True Dat | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laser Light | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uknowulikeit | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Major | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Data Boy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miriam’s Sky | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meant to Tell You | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Fresh | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keep Your Word | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Whippersnapper | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Am Prepared | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Omi’s Boy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Marc Andre | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last Sunrise | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stop the Humbug | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Exhibitionist | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Run With It | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alexander the Gray | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Matthews’ Orb | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskoka Son | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cerrado | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Leo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keen Artie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Music | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Heart | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks Again | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Be So Salty | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | San Nicola Thunder | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ethanol | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Hideaway | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Samsen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacks Escarpment | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hold’emforransom | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sent From Heaven | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Leo From Heaven | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Young Lord | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trappeze Artist | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intent to Strike | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Get the Facts | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Solution | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormfuhr | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stopvictimizingme | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit the Ticket | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ballade S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brookies Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silent Sonet | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scotty’s Model | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Cabernet | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blurricane | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | San Nicola Storm | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zestina | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Sunday | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without a Doubt | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Metadata | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Forester | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courting a Kiss | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Newfie Express | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Would Forest | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnite Snackattak | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Break and Enter | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy of Egbert | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Water Polo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Harper P M | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rapid Beat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Sailing Home | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timeskip | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alacritous | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Western Trouble | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Badge | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Macho T | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drena’s Bullet | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pool Playa | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lillz Not Crying | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.