Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2019

May 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Black Bess 1.20 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cindervella 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Discreet Bear 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fact Checking 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Ishiyaya 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Airy Fairy 8.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hesathriller 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Eminent Force 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Florida Won 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 1 Bold Rally 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Black Sea (FR) 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Run Away 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Carissimo 10.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 True Dat 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Laser Light 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Uknowulikeit 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Spanish Major 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Data Boy 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Miriam’s Sky 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Meant to Tell You 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mr. Fresh 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Keep Your Word 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Whippersnapper 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 Am Prepared 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Omi’s Boy 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 My Marc Andre 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Last Sunrise 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Stop the Humbug 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Big Exhibitionist 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Just Run With It 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Alexander the Gray 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ari Gold Speedwagn 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Matthews’ Orb 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Muskoka Son 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Cerrado 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mr Leo 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Lion’s Goldenheart 20.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Keen Artie 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Capture the Music 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Warrior’s Heart 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Thanks Again 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Don’t Be So Salty 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 6 San Nicola Thunder 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Ethanol 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Hollywood Hideaway 15.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Colonel Samsen 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Jacks Escarpment 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Hold’emforransom 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Sent From Heaven 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Leo From Heaven 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 The Young Lord 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Trappeze Artist 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Intent to Strike 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Get the Facts 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Kitten’s Solution 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Stormfuhr 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Detroit Steel (IRE) 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Stopvictimizingme 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Hit the Ticket 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ballade S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brookies Bear 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Silent Sonet 2.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Scotty’s Model 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Red Cabernet 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Blurricane 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 San Nicola Storm 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Zestina 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Summer Sunday 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Without a Doubt 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Metadata 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Kid Forester 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Courting a Kiss 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 The Newfie Express 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Sure Would Forest 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Midnite Snackattak 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Break and Enter 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Deputy of Egbert 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Water Polo 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Harper P M 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rapid Beat 12.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Sailing Home 3.00 0.9 2-1
5 5 Timeskip 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Alacritous 4.00 2.4 5-1
14 11 Western Trouble 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Precious Badge 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Cat’s Whisper 20.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 Macho T 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Drena’s Bullet 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Pool Playa 20.00 4.4 8-1
13 10 Legal Gump 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Lillz Not Crying 20.00 5.1 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.