May 11, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Champagne Honey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Incredibly Lucky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Put Her On Hold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Omnipotent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stylin Ocean | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Romance | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Channel | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosey Sky | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Ms Jones | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laker Jet | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Style Award | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Successful Ruler | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fantasy Heat | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Lady | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Rule of King’s | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senditlikechilly | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel War | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American All Star | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vintage Hollywood | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Belong to Becky | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magical Gray | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Journey | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scattering Mink | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mercy Mercy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surface | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coldwater | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paige Runner | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Air Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Time Is Now | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Forgiven | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mica Bay | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commanding Chief | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still in the Game | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen Bee to You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Causeforcommotion | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lynne’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Animosity | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guiliana (FR) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kodiak West (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Kid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lady Ninja | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ce Ce | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coco Kisses | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart of the Nile | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zusha | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapitha Bonita | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | North County Guy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foray | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acclimate | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Greywolf | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Erotic | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Finish | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Ghost | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little No Way | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chosen Vessel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saltarin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Once On Whiskey | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin Rules | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calexman | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Sean | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Law | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Secret Courier | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiger On Your Six | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Deep Thinker (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Irradiate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alfonso C | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Music to My Ears | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gate Speed | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Babael | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nesbitt | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Refuge | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rayray | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lacazette | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snappish (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bobs Desperado | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.