May 10, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7A |
7 |
Tayler’s the Boss |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Salty Smile |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3A |
3 |
Reata’s Reward |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Vale |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moment of Triumph |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zecha |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Mikayah |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Queen Kahen |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Getmotherarose |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Appreciate |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
It’s a Shaw Thing |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unblemished |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jasminesque |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goldmakesmesmile |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Candy for All |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
10 |
Mrs Stinkman |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Tabor Fleet |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tiz Her Way |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Indian Guide |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stand and Salute |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Candy Promises |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Javelin |
1.40 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Will Did It |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
American Lincoln |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Shamrock Kid |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Support Our Cause |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Great Going |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Preternatural |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Major Flirt |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
All Clear |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
11 |
7 |
Lem Me Tel Ya |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
6 |
La Maquina Gris |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Poppy Joe Rocks |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Call the Cat |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Flat Out Jayvien |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mickey T |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Wudda U Think Now |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Uncle George |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mitzrayim |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Theitalianamerican |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Mo Ready |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blues City |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2A |
2 |
Sky of Hook |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4A |
4 |
Justin Vision |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Margie Cat |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15A |
15 |
Fusi |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Too Many Tales |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Andretta |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Kitty Therapy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Kathy’s Cause |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
8 |
She’s Not Bluffing |
3.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
11 |
10 |
Smart Throb |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6A |
5 |
Crater Rim |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Alphabetting |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Slamin Sami Brown |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bella Via Mi Amor |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Funny Money Honey |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Seattle Frost |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Minit Maus |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Highleelikelee |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Identity Politics |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Achilles Warrior |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Power |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Payne |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tap Master |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Caretaker |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thousand Percent |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fix Me a Sandwich |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Fleet Warrior |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sniper Shot |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
4 |
Bernin’ Thru Gold |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Family Biz |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
3 |
Direct Order |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
5 |
Firery Tale |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Majid |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
6 |
Mo Gotcha |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mucho Lucky |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Mount Olympus |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Honor |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mandatory Payout |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lone Pioneer |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ninja Dust |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Asher the Dasher |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dr. Devera’s Way |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Smidge |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Fortune’s Boy |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.