May 10, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lethal Leanne | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Checotah | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aviating | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Way too Smarte | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ve Got Issues | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie Bear | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Revolt | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Purely Boy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warleggan | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hourly | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camalus | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carnoustie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Superstar Diva | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dream of Hero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mistletoe Miss | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Belle Brezing | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She’s So Needy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chrome Attack | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Diva Banker | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | English Ransom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Galahad Kid | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harlan’s Vador (ARG) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mummy Troll | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gusano | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soul Wind | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | McLance | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maximus Image | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Enjoy the Journey | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enzoexpress | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fist of Rage | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boogy Soks | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Military Hop | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kissedthegirls | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canary Islands | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy D | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Orcus | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Miracle Mountain | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jersey’s Heat | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ghost Position | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hellofaguy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Diamond Dave | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | High On Sugar | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | P R Radio Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Wellabled | 2.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nuclear Option | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shogood | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rock | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malraux | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speightsong | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Welovecandy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Takin the Sloroad | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Giacallure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Summer Castle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rich E Z | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | All Call | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Citali | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Cadet Captain | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Ahoymycaptain | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Half of Manhattan | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romeo O Romeo | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eliz’s Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Taber | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Well | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glamala | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dance Like Katie | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Littlesummerprairy | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rare Action Attack | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Sweet Chic | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Wife Is Boss | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blu Hawaii | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Filly From Illy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.