May 5, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fairy Hill | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Gwendoline H | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bella Figura | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bear Kitty | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Phil’s Glory | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady of Moray | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Go Jak | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Katie Baby | 1.20 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souciologist | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Azalea | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War of the States | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modus Operandi | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Manitou | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Moon | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Luck | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s the Berries | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cartabianca (FR) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop Who’s That | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladies Night | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moon Swings | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby Bittman | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chilly in Charge | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yzerman | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frankie Barone | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Encierro | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roaring Forties | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bitethebulletbro | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brutus | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go for a Ride | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flawless Bourbon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Night Watchman | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mick the Conqueror | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Knights | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chilling Secret | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blu Collar Romance | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boyhood Dream | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hussar | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Grind | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Born to Be King | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Downy Boy | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fahrenheit | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer Retreat | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wiley O’Rielly | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charles Street | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Winsroy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Standing Reserve | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eboracum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Victor’s Dynasty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | My Silencer | 2.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Camp Nardo | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Krachenwagen | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seguimi | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bens Last Call | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donnie Brasco | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Mesa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Abe Froman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rising Star | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Fighter | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dino Three O Nine | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dynamic Force | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayan Ghost | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bear Paw | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Look Incredible | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolly Dagger | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Magic | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alkeline | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bel Tempo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sam’s Cross | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Thunder Point | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Too Many Egbert’s | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sniper | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Souper Fly Over | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heydon’s Case | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cat Zapper | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reallylikethisone | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish River | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Talks | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vilma | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Changue | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red At Last | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Th Original Scotty | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth Thief | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Nada | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.