May 4, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Latin Love Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Special Story | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Mission | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swiping Dan | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thefinalcrazydude | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hopper Dropper | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Equal the Score | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prince Halo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Danzante | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Valmont | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Greg King of Kool | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Mims | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 11 | I Saw It All | 1.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Givetheman a Cigar | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Tammany Giant | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Early Retirement | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lorcan | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Wisecrack | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Quintarelli | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Schwarbertown | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aboutthebenjamins | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Soup Baby | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Curlin the Giant | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Soul | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Trick | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dannie’s Deceiver | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stretch’s Stone | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adulation | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sheepshead Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Matty’s Magnum | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Holy Helena | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Unbridledadventure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Santa Monica (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Vexatious | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Semper Sententiae | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Giant Zinger | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Montdore | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Nicky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Paper Clip | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Global Exchange | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stylishly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’llhandalthecash | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Liza Jambalaya | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Noble Alma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Unblemished | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Teletype | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 5 | Private Beach | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Lady Worthington | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Blahnik | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Quasar | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Shannon’s Girl | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Dating Game | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Lute | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Distortion | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tribecca | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seethisquick | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparticle | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vicar’s Legend | 50.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Starship Zeus | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Compagno | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Maybe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Indebted | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sycamore Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Zinger | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Patriot Drive | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Bitumen | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Shamcat | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Poshsky | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Tiz a Chance | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | River of Dreams | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Financialstability | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mister Bobby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bassman Dave | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Invest | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Diggitty | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Papa Jim | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Step to the Bank | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Flag | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Coolboy | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Four Forty Strand | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Later Cat | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mango M | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Castle Casanova | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Veterans Beach | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 11 | Big Gemmy | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mystical Song | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh My Papa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | The Big Lebanese | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Playwright | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Riken | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | New York Hero | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nueva York | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Villa | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scrutinize | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fort Marcy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Control Group | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Robert Bruce (CHI) | 0.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doctor Mounty | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Edgar | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maraud | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arrocha (BRZ) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Channel Cat | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Olympico (FR) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cullum Road | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Westchester S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carlino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Prince Lucky | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Ridge | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stan the Man | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Realm | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hoffenheim | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nicodemus | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bandua | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Meadow Mist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bel Cuore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Plimsoll Anny | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | First Forever | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Rose of Dublin | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Big Risk | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Street Chamber | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Nova Girl | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Flambe | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Cara | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peggy Sue | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cholmondeley | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Ross | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Intersect | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Marie’s Tuff | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.