Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 3, 2019

May 3, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss You Blues 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 We Are Family 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Mo Moxie 0.80 1.4 3-1
3 2 Triumphant 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Canarsie Girl 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Semaya 50.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Slimey 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Solitary Gem 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Awe Honey 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Needs No Ice 8.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Roses From Ben 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Forever Daisy 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Tiz R Bella 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Eight Minute Ellie 15.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Laura’s Patriot 8.00 2.5 5-1
11 9 Fairy Link 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sundrenched 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Carlisle Belle 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Glam 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sister Emily 30.00 4.5 9-1
12A 10 Catania Rose 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cousin Pete 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Labeq 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Mandatory Payout 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bronxville 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ocean Monarch 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Seediskid 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Crater Rim 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 She’s Not Bluffing 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Margie Cat 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bella Via Mi Amor 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Memories Eternal 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Traci’s Girl 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Nazay 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Gattino Marrone 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Honorable Profit 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Abby Normal 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Chillinwithfriends 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Weekend Forecast 30.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Icy Maneuvers 10.00 4 8-1
12 12 My First Gal 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Easy Banker 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Princessof Philmar 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Straphanger 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dr. Lloyd 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Stink Man 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 6 Who’s Driving 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Shock Therapy 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dark Money 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Jack Bo 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Poker Game 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Have Another 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Identity Politics 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Payne 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Achilles Warrior 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Tap Master 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Aveenu Malcainu 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Thousand Percent 30.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 The Caretaker 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 American Power 6.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Deal 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Jimi Bags 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Enthusiastic Gal 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Factoring 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Whyisshesoolucky 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Valuable Package 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Science Fiction 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Miss Mystique 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Not Sure 12.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Forgotten Hero 8.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flat Out S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marconi 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Twisted Tom 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tour de Force 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Rocketry 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Monongahela 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Roaming Union 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Forewarned 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 G Zap 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Kris d’Oro 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bourbon High 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fusi 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Seattle Frost 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Too Many Tales 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Andretta 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Kitty Therapy 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Slamin Sami Brown 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Kathy’s Cause 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Alphabetting 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Funny Money Honey 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Romping Rosie 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Minit Maus 30.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Smart Throb 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Vinda Machine 12.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Highleelikelee 30.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.