May 2, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cambria | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Aurelia Garland | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Melania | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Onyx | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Liza | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Talk You Out of It | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Creative Style | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Variant Perception | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Kayla | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uhtred | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willing to Speed | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Much Trouble | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spectator Sport | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Halstaat | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Megacity | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Humor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seayouathebreakers | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Key Biscayne | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pushover | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Days of Spring | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kit Kat Katie | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Sadie | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jump Ruler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sun Studio | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | New Year’s Wish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Alberobello | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Frost | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daria’s Angel | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamond N Simon | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Retro Street | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee’snbee’s | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hand Rail | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Diva | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mom I Forgive You | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trixie’s Time | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Makes Me Smile | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Emergent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Surge Pricing | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Skychief | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amistad | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Mule | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Pioneer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild One Forever | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Azzedine (FR) | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Deft | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No No Noah | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Block and Plank | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shimmering Moon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sing for Beauty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moondance Joy | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timely Tradition | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Annie | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Archumybaby | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bertranda | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party in the Sand | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’sakittykat | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Play Me a Memory | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Ballantine | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Raison | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Night | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Saturday | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit It Once More | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Bonus | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Tarallucci | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lady Macho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | J J Jen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sterling Beauty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lough Na Mona | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Corey Scores | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plink Freud | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running On Entry | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mike’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itsakeyper | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linda’s Ballet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Becca Takes Charge | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nine From Two | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mickey Diamond | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sandra’s Mine | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.