April 30, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Siete | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Pots N Pans | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | March Screamer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square the Circle | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amazing Start | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shoeless | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Honor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Informality | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tu Exageres | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Infield Is In | 0.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Insider | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Southern Kisses | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildly Clever | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lori’s Folly | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Clemen | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eastern Front | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mambo At the Gym | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Indy | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belly Dancer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winter’s Gift | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Drinking Rules | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pharaoh’s City | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Revival | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Retrograde | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ironclad | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Make It Easy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetyeightoctane | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Cotton | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifty | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chelios | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinco Y Cinco | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No More Strippers | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pegasus Red | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marnesia Big Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Stroll Action | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Girl Powder | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Meeting | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chorite | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sandy Mischief | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Hy Rapid Lady | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nothin But Trouble | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | She’s Running Free | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mrs. Rembrandt | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Alaina | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glorious Mystery | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joycee’s Spirit | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Clear | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Congaree Rose | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Pi | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classic Lines | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talking Point | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roanie | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alwayslookeye | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quench My Thirst | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deerstalker | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contingent Payment | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmy Who | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Cowboy Night | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love Is Your Name | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Totalitario | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Halite | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seat of Honor | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pumpkin Star | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Adventist | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Infuriated | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 2 | His Royal Majesty | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | South Sea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Tighten Up | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8B | 6 | Gurt Boys | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Romance | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Get the W | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baduke | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Asphalt Paving | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Stand and Salute | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Bella Pina | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Midnight Crossing | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghai Tootsie | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Point Lockout | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Blue Harbor | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | You’re My Lady | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paula’s Dream | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Rashelle | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Argumentative | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Math | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.