April 29, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Conscience |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Runs for Luck |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Surfing U S A |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imasuperstar |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Global Positioning |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bobcat |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cause for Surprise |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smart and Tough |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Helen Rose |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Climb the Ladder |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Comfortable Cat |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trappe Play |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imperial Lady |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kendyl Elizabeth |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Carry Your Heels |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enchantabull |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Yellow Chick |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reigning Fire |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Moon |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heraway |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ez On the Eyes |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Symphony of Love |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bucks Some |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
9 |
Trapps Star |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Miss Star Lo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Luv Her Baby Blues |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
Betty’s Favorite |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
2 |
Hibernia Diamond |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
1 |
Glowing Star |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Enigmatica |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Batmitzvah |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Iron Lilly |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Chessen |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sister Wendy |
30.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
11 |
9 |
Somethingwithlilly |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sea Swap |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Silver Assault |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Notable |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Schliffy |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Six Blade |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Prep Pride |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Danang Beach |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Skittles |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sugar Train |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Tale of the Blade |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Pawn It Back |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
9 |
Hatteras Bound |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Glass Bridge |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
4 |
Incubator |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
2 |
Drummer Don |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
8 |
O’Kram |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
5 |
Free for Nothing |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1A |
3 |
Musical Comedy |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
6 |
Banker’s Island |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
7 |
Arch Contender |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vested Venture |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bree’s Got Heart |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess Palomar |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anissa |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bourbon Honey |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Berberslilbriebrie |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cincy Belle |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Driven by Speed |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Stand and Salute |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
4 |
Thomas Knight |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
1A |
6 |
Draxhall Woods |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Artistic Drifter |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Brio Man |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Refuseing |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Espresso Caliente |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Poised for Action |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honorable Service |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
7 |
Square the Circle |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
8 |
My Man Pots N Pans |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
6 |
Hail to the King |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Drosselmagic |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fiery Opal |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Danny O |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Midnight Harbor |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Printer |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Alpha Team |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Grit’n’grind |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Layla’s Voyage |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Sunny Sonata |
1.40 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yes It’s Dyna |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Juliet |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Way Over Budget |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love That Chick |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocean Court |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Georgia Bonnet |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Pastiche |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.