April 28, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Eden Alexandra |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lil Bullette |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Storm Babe |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3A |
3 |
Lottery Queen |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
September Gurl |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trunk of Money |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9A |
8 |
Sunshine Bay |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
10 |
Dancingthehnydaway |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Allegretto |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
I Took a Shot |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Family Fortune |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
King Dublin |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Wild About Deb |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sir Sidney |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Burntwood |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mbrace Grace |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flying Rocket |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vegas Strip |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Secret Secret |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salutation |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8A |
8 |
Charming Indy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Gourmet Delight |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Controlled Fury |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
7 |
In Equality |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
One Sided |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6A |
5 |
Noble Kent |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Alaapatique |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Billy Badpay |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fleet First |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Don Vito’s Kitty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Grey Harmony |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Skookie |
0.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ana Lass |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2A |
2 |
Magnificent Belle |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
11 |
9 |
Lady of Quality |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Tas Time |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hay Buck |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9A |
7 |
Iwasbornawinner |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ice Cream Party |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Whitneydianne |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Shore Bet |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Hay Boy |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hoskins |
1.20 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vidarr |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anxious |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Nine Toe Billy |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Game Changer |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Partner’s Power |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Railroad Bill |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Glory Song |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Creative Genius |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Press My Bets |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Teton |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Compound It |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Fooling Dude |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shanghai Check |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Frost’s Song |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jw’s Third Mischie |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Meadow |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8A |
8 |
Your Secret’s Safe |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hidden Bamboo |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Greatness |
7.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tempestuous Angel |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Easy River |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loco Lobo |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buzz With Alex |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
12A |
11 |
Righteous |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Candy Choo |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Smooth Don B |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Corsario |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Tuffy’s Lucky |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Jemrose |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12A |
12 |
Beautiful Maiden |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Hide a Rose |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
1 |
Pinkout |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stay Special |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Teufles and Roses |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Clare’s Dowery |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Midnight Bounty |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ignite |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Don’s Escapade |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Pretty Cool Cat |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Banana Anna |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.