April 28, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Andrew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mr Wonderful | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mission Statement | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everything Pazible | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ridolfo | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clonedsimmard | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Peculiar Sensation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Chance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mobridge | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Uncle Sigh | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Samadi Sky | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Calculated Risker | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Blue Pigeon | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Walkoff | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suremoney | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninja Dust | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Sueno | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indigestion | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hierarchy | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Financial System | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Argonne | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Go | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance for Oro | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dublin Green | 50.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Simona | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsjustnotyourday | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnitesalright | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Third Card Down | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viradia | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jacqueline D | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Lumberjane | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Puffery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Elegant Zip | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bareeqa | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lovely La La | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Border | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dream Passage | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tudox Lifting Off | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pinchbeck | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Cartwheel | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Discreet | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unbridledadventure | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fullness of Time | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spice Road | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Presto | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Morning | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meet Me in L A | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righteousness | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Storm | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Albert | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin At Roses | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cryinthemoonlight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ja’s Malibu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Last Million | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Turn and Bern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Orchid Party | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Not About the Nail | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Daisy | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Hot Stones | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She’s Trouble | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exceed the Goal | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – License Fee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goldwood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fire Key | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Broadway Run | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mrs. Ramona G. | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fear No Evil | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Misericordia (GB) | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Albertville (GER) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dearly Declared | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Recess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Plink Freud | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Magic Fairy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Star of the East | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sterling Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Crescent Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kerry’s Ring | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Firestormy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Rumor Driven | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Roziere | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Paved With Gold | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Dancing Slippers | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 6 | Petalite | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Alexacrat | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.