April 27, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flip the Coin Jan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | He Will | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Start a Runnin | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Musketier | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dallas Skyline | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Joe | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buckstopper Kit | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dahlia Azul | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Winner’s Dream | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Empress of Lov | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ciao Luna | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Diva | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Road Test | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Policy | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentan Road | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Ebby | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point Hope (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muthhila (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Tiger | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hergame (GB) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Thirty Five | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Huerfano | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Surfing Star | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Route Six Six | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pepe Tono | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Popular Kid | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brandothebartender | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soi Phet | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Hunted | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hardboot | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Street Fighter | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accountability | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tule Fog | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rather Nosy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Validity | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Kisses | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes All Woman | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bennet | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tick Tock | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lazzam (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Twentytwentyvision | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kylemore | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hootie | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red King | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jungle Warfare | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Move Over (GB) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Cabbie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | War Chest | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Plain Wrap | 50.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Withholding Info | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Paradise Woods | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lemoona | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just a Smidge | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starr of Quality | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birdie Gold | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exuberance | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Blue Grass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Calder Vale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Love and Hold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Golden Image | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Translucent | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | King Parker | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winding | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Master Juba | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mad At Money | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Carribean Colours | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dieci | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.