April 27, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Belt | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candid Desire | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sol the Freud | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Formal Start | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manifest Destiny | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O Shea Can U See | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Everything Pazible | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dove Shoot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Inflection | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fleet Admiral | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Semper Paratus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Simbasalltrouble | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Magnesite | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sounds Good | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Fotis | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Boundary | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Big Wonder | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Like What I See | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pagliacci | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Deep Sea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Harlan’s Harmony | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Vici | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dowse’s Beach | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dr. Shane | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Expert | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Take Your Place | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cash Offer | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Lookbothways | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Banker | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s My Catiecat | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riot | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finlee | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | All Clear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mickey T | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | River Knight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Support Our Cause | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Heart | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Maquina Gris | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Air On Fire | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fox Red | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Loverboy Lou | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Bettor Bank On It | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alrahaal | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Flat Out Jayvien | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prognostication | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Danny California | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hoboe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Penalty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dream Friend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mutakatif (IRE) | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Haul Anchor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Power | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 2 | Vincento | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Mintz | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papa Zulu | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 9A | 9 | Old Upstart | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Sparty Boy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halloween Horror | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maimo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zabaione | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toohottoevenspeak | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Lincoln | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kenyan | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tony Small | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Righteousness | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Strategic Outlook | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Downside Risk | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dillon Rocks | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hizaam | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Value Proposition (GB) | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Overbold | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tariff Tantrum | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zorbed | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Krampus | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Big Handsome | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Abiding Star | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Therapist | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emmaus (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | V. I. P. Code | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fixed Point | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taptaptap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Remstin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Curlin Creek | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Change of Venue | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Quest for Fire | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Altesino | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bourbon Did It | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Laura’s Posse | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Great Going | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Buss the Bell | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.