April 25, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Darling Vera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Princesa Carolina | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Ready Orb Not | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alasaayil | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Comic Kitten | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remarkable Soul | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jala Jala (MEX) | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Auspicious Babe | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Dane (ITY) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Mylady Curlin | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skeptic | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Broth | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ceduna | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kulin Rock | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elgar | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lo’s Journey | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Botswana | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Copper Fiddle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nautical Legacy | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baron of Bluegrass | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Odie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whisper Barrow | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Falls Road | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eyes On | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strafford | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Homeview | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bruiser | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Roll | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lure of the Sea (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sistas Ready | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lessons From Avery | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Flat Meadow | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sky Diety | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Enchanting Kitten | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fun Sucker | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | In a Flury | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alcools | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crypto | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Unleashed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | City Front | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Kimari | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halfmoon Reef | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 5 | Not Again Jackie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Musta Never Met U | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sensitive | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Little Lila | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tooreen Dancer (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Na Pali Spirit | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Thinking | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheeky Cherub | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry Tequila | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truth in the Lies | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Snell Yeah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Free Indeed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Merchants of Cool | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Samurai Cause | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clear Destination | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Raising Dreams | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dream Palace | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Letsstaypositive | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Apple Empire | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tapit On Race Day | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Tweezer (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | My Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Beautiful Wall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Thetrashmanscoming | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Always Cool | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bail Out | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher Power | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Artie | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cardinal Kitten | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trinity (FR) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hellorhighwater | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oxburger | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steeles Run | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timbrook | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Merlin’s Song | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Seek the Peak | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.