Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 21, 2019

April 21, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Incredibly Lucky 1.20 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sure Angel 3.00 1.7 3-1
1.7 3-1
4 4 Vella 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Golden Necklace 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 California Comet 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Smiling Rose 6.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Toothless Wonder 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Owning 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 I Belong to Becky 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mad Mike 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Stay in Yo Lane 12.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tequila Sunrise 2.00 1.1 2-1
1.6 3-1
1 1 Sweetener 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Suprema 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Cat’s Desire 10.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Chasing Moments 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Acadia Fleet 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sweetest Caroline 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky Patrick 2.50 1.2 2-1
1.7 3-1
3 3 Surfside Sunset 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Frankie Machine 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Union Rebel 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Royal Seeker 10.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Runnin’withdadevil 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Appreciated 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Loaded Joe 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 General Mo 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Asaro 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Malibu Moonlight 8.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Patriot 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Kennedie Sky 4.00 1.6 3-1
1.7 3-1
4 4 Zuzanna 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Indypendent Deputy 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Blew by You 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cee Sam’s Girl 10.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Queen of the Track 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Wishful 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Baby Ice 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Red Stich 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Portal Creek 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Miss Lady Ann 4.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Calentita (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Holly Hundy 3.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Ameerah B 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Gallantlystreaming (IRE) 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Shanghai Truffles 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Vangogo 12.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Field Bet 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Katsaros 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Savera 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dorindaslite 12.00 4.5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.