April 21, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Incredibly Lucky | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sure Angel | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Vella | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Necklace | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Comet | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Rose | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toothless Wonder | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owning | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Belong to Becky | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Mike | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay in Yo Lane | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Sweetener | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suprema | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Desire | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Moments | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acadia Fleet | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Caroline | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Patrick | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Sunset | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frankie Machine | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Rebel | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Seeker | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runnin’withdadevil | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appreciated | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loaded Joe | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Mo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asaro | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Moonlight | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Patriot | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kennedie Sky | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Zuzanna | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indypendent Deputy | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blew by You | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen of the Track | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wishful | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Ice | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Stich | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Portal Creek | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lady Ann | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Calentita (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Holly Hundy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ameerah B | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Truffles | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vangogo | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Field Bet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katsaros | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savera | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dorindaslite | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.