April 20, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rip Rap Riley |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Sunman |
1.40 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Smurthwaite |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forthegreatergood |
20.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Talent |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honor Run |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quick Man |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Subdued |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Southern Saviour |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mutaraabit |
1.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
13 |
13 |
Dynastic |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Canal Point |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
15 |
15 |
Yes Means No |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kustaafu |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Up Against It |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elevated Forever |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
14 |
14 |
Lucky Bull |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Samadi Blue |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oy to the World |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
16 |
16 |
Valley Cal |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Watchmeneighneigh |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mead Avenue |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Saturday Fighter |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Galatians |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Monteleone |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Totalitario |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Throw the Fade |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crouchelli |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goodluckjohnathan |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Crusader |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dharmaster |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ellyb |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Kailee (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beyond Forever |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Slimey |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Special Included |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
War of the States |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Something Magical |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mary’s Jewel |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Street Miz |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stereo Viewing (IRE) |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mixways |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Frank Whiteley, Jr S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Killybegs Captain |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Lewisfield |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Home Run Maker |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Laki |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Brix |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
It’s the Journey |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rockinn On Bye |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tradfest |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – King T. Leatherbury S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bavaro |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Robey’s Boy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Proforma |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dubini |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Sailor |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
15 |
15 |
Tricks to Doo |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Colonel Sharp |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
14 |
14 |
New York’s Finest |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fielder |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eastern Bay |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shane’s Jewel |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dirty |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Triple Burner |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Completed Pass |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Clever Triad |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Primonetta S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Adios Annie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ms Locust Point |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cairenn |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Startwithsilver |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
D J’s Favorite |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shimmering Aspen |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Last True Love |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Majestic Won |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Angel At War |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
S W Briar Rose |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dahlia S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Isotope |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Indy’s Lady |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Na Pali Spirit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sneaky Betty |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mrs. Ramona G. |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Viva Vegas |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
La Moneda |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Souper Striking |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Secret Message |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peach of a Gal |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
14 |
14 |
Timeless Curls |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quick Witted |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Enchanted Ghost |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
True Yankee |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
15 |
15 |
So Innocent |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Weber City Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Drinking Dixie |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Las Setas |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Super Freak |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pat’s No Fool |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Past Perfect |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trapped N My Mind |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Money Fromheaven |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Federico Tesio S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Majid |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Alwaysmining |
0.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tybalt |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bozzini |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dixie Drawl |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trifor Gold |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Henry S. Clark S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Cordmaker |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
John Jones |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mo Maverick |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Irish Strait |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Phlash Phelps |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flatlined |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talk Show Man |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Real Story |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Just Howard |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
O Dionysus |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.