April 20, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | River Echo (GB) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Still Krz | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lazarus Project | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bella Brown | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bears Mafia | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invest | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Step to the Bank | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Internet of Things | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sporting Art | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Gala | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Justin | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Massena | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | River Knight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ten Twenty Nine | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call the Cat | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run for Boston | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time Expired | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mac’s Revolution | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malarkey | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Claire’s Kitty | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parlapiano | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Triumph | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overheated | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequila Sunday | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spectator Sport | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hero’s Welcome | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Rider | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candygram | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Cause | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Thief | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Woodhaven S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tybalt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | English Bee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mount Travers | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Forty Under | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Family Biz | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Five Star General | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Empire of War | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Gemmy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ode to the Hunt | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mango M | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Phone Funky Munky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Steelersfanforlife | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Turbulence | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Minsky Moment | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lutsky | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Beach Access | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dublin Green | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stonesintheroad | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bangle Gal | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Newly Minted | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Is Frosty | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alphadora | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Lassie | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canarsie Princess | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Spectacular | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Slippers | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Big Lebanese | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ventus | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Blindwillie McTell | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kosciuszko | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bankit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Thorny Tale | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Guy | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hushion | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bebe Banker | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Captain Frost | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seed Money | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.