April 18, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ghosted |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Big Kitty Kitty |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
2 |
Lively Spell |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Arkansas Alley |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1A |
8 |
Button Mushroom |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sassy Olivia Ann |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pleasure and Glory |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fortressa |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
9 |
Primary First |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Flume |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Franki D Oro |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
My Girl Rocket |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Shell Locket |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Angel’s Cut |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Cactus Cheque |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
11 |
9 |
Storm Stride |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Eva’s Candy |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Miss Larissa |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Mia Angel S |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
De Melo |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Justin Zee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Collection |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Jersey’s Heat |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Everado |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Knight Errant |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Intimidating |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forestry’s Buddy |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
9 |
Dream Baby Dream |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Hamazing Vision |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Data Gold |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Starlin |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Glamorized |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Seeds of Time |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mostly Awesome |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Infuse |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
No Cacha Na (CHI) |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Holdthatlove |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Acorn Street |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Primary Paula |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Jeweled Crown |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Savedbyanangel |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lil Tater |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Warm Beauty |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tedders Angel |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rosemary Beach |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lynne T |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Firm Alexis |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nariz Canela |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tapit Right |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
My Little Spitfire |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Melissa |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Presley |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
4 |
Desert Madam |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Serious I Candy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Crimson Creed |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1A |
4 |
Council Rules |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Valiant Lady |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Racey Reecey |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alittlecomplicated |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boathouse View |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ring Me Up |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Zella Rose |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
J P’s Gladys |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maid Easy |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dontbefoolish |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Survey |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gowdy |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Freemore |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Augie |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
11 |
Impressed |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tsali |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Staccato |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Millwood |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Midland |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
D’oros Ruler |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Little Mark |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ms Fifty First St. |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Euro Me |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aunt Gayle |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chilean Queen |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fastanista |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Easter Indy |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blushing Bella |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s Undawnted |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Wild Popit |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Firecrow |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Curlin’s On Fire |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Tut’s Revenge |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Loopallu |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
10 |
6 |
Nifty |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Runaway Wind |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Slick Silver |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
J M White Lighting |
20.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Kansas City Zip |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
7 |
Lea Ridge |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.