April 14, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Seam | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preaching Trainer | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jetovator | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Journey | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Spice | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unusually Handsome | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Desert General | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Bellerin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilshire Dude | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Can Do This | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ack | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Victory Element | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overdue | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Farquhar | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowl of Spaghetti | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Champ | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | River Echo (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Denman’s Call | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Buckys Pick | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Jackson | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Facts Matter | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Causeforcommotion | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gliding By | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Love and Peace (FR) | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapped | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ahimsa | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beach View | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Campaign | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Prince | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Field Bet | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Be Lucky | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breezy Bee | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sapori Girl | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meso | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Persephone | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddys Real Diva | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dialed Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rinse and Repeat | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Trump | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Envelope | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire When Ready | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minoso | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nap Lajoie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaymin | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teacher’s Treasure | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carnivorous | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Psycho Dar | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.