April 14, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Norma’s Joy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Baby Driver | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Scat Maggie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Platinum Paynter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Becky’s Bluegrass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Trish’s Dream (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Keepme in Thegame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Divinity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Raramuri Spirit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Border Town Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maid in the Mist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Awesome One | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Repatriated Gem (GB) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Joy to the World | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Artistic | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Snattered | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bold Prophet | 1.40 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portal | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stuart Hall | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitchi | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bemma’s Boy | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamzapper | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Revved Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Profiteer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Murad Khan (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dot Matrix | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sir Dudley Digges | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Olympico (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 3 | Heavy Roller | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 9 | 1 | Cowboy Culture | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 2 | Reride | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Commanding Chief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Atmos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Master Distiller | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tringale | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jumpin Thru Hoops | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Exchequer | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Max | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Forbetterorworse | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sophie Antoinette | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Woodfin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Finest | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strikingly Lovely | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Concordsdifference | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miss Leah Angel (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Michelles Fault | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Niigon’s Spin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 7 | Encanta | 3.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Chikara | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | She’s Proud | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Dixieincandyland | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Rearrange | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Princesa Blanca | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Scary Animal | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Malibu Party | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Monarch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lontani | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Warrior | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honos Man | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saintly Samurai | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Dog | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Change Direction | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bumperdoo | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sagan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Marzo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Family Tree (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Farat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fred’stwirlincandy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sekondi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Kitten | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wazzup Chuck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Face of Victory | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Rubus | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C C Rider | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Lo’s Journey | 50.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Roll | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Foxtail | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Aife | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Support | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saracosa | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shezappealing | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | End of Now | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Im a Patriot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | St. Denman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Factor This | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daddy’s Cozy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | One Last Strike | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Decree | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Voting Control | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 5 | Watch Me Whip | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Create Again | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Personal Time | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Ecru | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combustible | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.