April 14, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fort Worth | 0.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Zinger | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Saw It All | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Jim | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Da Berg | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’smyluckyfellow | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Princess | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Quietude | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stabilize | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrens Vengeance | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ok Honey | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruvies in Time | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Plenty Of Grace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frostie Anne | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Frost | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Five | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Sonet | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thais (FR) | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Hardcandy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coffee Crush | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Compound It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 8 | 7 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Front Run the Fed | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lonhtwist | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duncastle | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Northern Haze | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Point of Humor | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mass Appeal | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Standard Deviation | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Right Path | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pulsate | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelfthofneverland | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back to Back | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trance | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Legion Storm | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Vincent | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Wonderful | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Nugget | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Adversary | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mounted Cop | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ticked All Daboxes | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inflection | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monaghan | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lorri’s Candy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tale of Mist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Special Story | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Zeus | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dooley | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Lane | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swiping Dan | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Lights | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proximate to Power | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Romance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chelsea Cloisters | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Queen of Bermuda (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golconda (FR) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eyeinthesky | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fashion Faux Pas | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ujjayi | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mae Never No (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fangirl | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Odds | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Muy Bien | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Amanjena | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riendo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fleet Admiral | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Millionaire Joe | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icey Cash | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hurricane Andrew | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mysterioustraveler | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.