April 13, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | V J’s Bet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4A | 4 | Served Cold | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Ransomed | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Storm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Tatum | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Lucky Break | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Register | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Gorgeous | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Street Trust | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasury Bill | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Gulch | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Swing | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ucanthankmelater | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tales of War | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yeowzer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Samicean (GER) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Husky Clipper | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10A | 10 | The Rouge Diesel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mines Made Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Never Give In | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Imma Bling | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bow and Arrow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toasting Master | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Basic Chance | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fascilitator | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Koy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mitole | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whitmore | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Cowboy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Operation Stevie | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Indomitable Spirit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Annie and Caroline | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unsweet Tea | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kiss More | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poets Dreamed | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Mallard Queen | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fox Alert | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Punish | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Emerald Queen | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Savedbestforlast | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Landeskog | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rowayton | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pyron | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cabot | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jack Van Berg | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Youvesaiditall | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mason Dixon | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Linemaker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Majestic Day | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Surooj | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Josie Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Michael T | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Breaking News | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocknroll Rocket | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Frontier | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Malibu Mo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Sceptor | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Around the Dial | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Knowyouroptions | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lost in Limbo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Chad | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mercer Island | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | McFeely | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Hollywood Critic | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 3 | Catdaddy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo’s Mojo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ike | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | On Patrol | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Extirpator | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Giant Expectations | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Lone Sailor | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tenfold | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Spirit | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quip | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remembering Rita | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chris and Dave | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rated R Superstar | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin At Lee | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Combatant | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lighthawk | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz McNamara | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Sky | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meistermind | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zing Zang | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Bad Habit | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Adams | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Single Gem | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sonny Smack | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Improbable | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Omaha Beach | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galilean | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Attempt | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Long Range Toddy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six Shooter | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country House | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laughing Fox | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jersey Agenda | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tikhvin Flew | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Flew South | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honoring Major | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cowboy Diplomacy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rotation | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flatout Winner | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Scat Big Dad | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Verve’s Humor | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speed App | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twobirdsonestone | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sneads | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gold Note | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broke in a Flash | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.