April 13, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Templar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Timber Ghost | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roaming Union | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exulting | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Driven to Compete | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mom I Forgive You | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mrs. Crews | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Floss Dancer | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ash n’ Em | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awe Honey | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee’snbee’s | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She Makes Me Smile | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bridgetown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Majid | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Wonder Stone | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regally Irish | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mount Travers | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skole | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skychief | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brockthebank | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coolboy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Wonder | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune’s Boy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fotis | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morgantown | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Central Time | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wilson’s Holiday | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sider On Da Mound | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clairvoyant Lady | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nisha | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picture Day | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | My Girl Annie | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timely Tradition | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chorus Line | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Karen’s Gem | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bank Examiner | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chillinwithfriends | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newly Minted | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singular Sensation | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doll | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Money Honey | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Stable Genius | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Semaya | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bareeqa | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Overnegotiate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Annie Rocks | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Love | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Devilish Romance | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Barbarian | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tropical Joy | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Top Flight Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forever Liesl | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Miss Lilly | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Frostie Anne | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Broad | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump Ruler | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Disguise | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dove Shoot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mungoose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Well in Tune | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Capt. Courageous | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Roll Tide | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | The Grand Canal | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Suremoney | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Adios Amigos | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nueva York | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Prince Halo | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Breaking Boundary | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.