April 12, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Smart Spree |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
He’s So Zazzy |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Inge |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Data Driven |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Touch of Disney |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sharp Art |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Allaboutmike |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fair Shot |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Gigging |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Wings Up |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Kaziranga |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr Midtown |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Off Sixes |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charles T |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Town Drunk |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Colombard |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sidavi |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ted W |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Monastrell |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Istillgotit |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Imperatore |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Romeo O Romeo |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stay Home |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Proudly Pacific |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flatoutcountry |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pagalo in Avanti |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Champagne Tale |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Subiaco |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Gisel |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rodhwaan |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blessed Again |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Apple Dapple |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mimi’s Ruby Bobby |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Absolute Love |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sheesa Pontiac |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cassidy Ave |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paddy O |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Full Steam |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Just for Casey |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Greeleys Charm |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Oso Ready |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sladens Dream |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Long Station |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stay Determined |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Did |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Magic Command |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Made to Fit |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Flashy Indian |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mini Miles |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
McQ |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Country Cool |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Outrun the Posse |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shilah Baby |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Speed to Victory |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vivacitas |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drop Dead Gorgeous |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tipazar |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boundless Joy |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daaherachel |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Traci’s Greeley |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Kiffle |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Brill |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Mischief |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Motion Emotion |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cosmic Code |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Apple |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Orra Moor |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Filly Joel |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Destiny Over Fate |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Oxy Lady |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Super Tap |
50.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
K P Slickem |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
B P Rocket |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Knight’s Cross |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Warrior’s Charge |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Soldado |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
7 |
Hidden Ruler |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dobbins G |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Proverb |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Comedian |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Troy Ounce |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Silent Force |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13A |
13 |
Private Lake |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Destinedtobeastar |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Heritage Park |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heisfancy |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Calle Patron |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Young Bull |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5A |
5 |
Ordained Cat |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Silver City Blues |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Leo Del Reo |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ray’s Big Boy |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Buddy Pat |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lieutenant Powell |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Robin’s Rocket |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.