April 11, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Tapifyn |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Big Trip |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
6 |
Cape County |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1A |
8 |
Sheba Hazelwood |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
4 |
Marshall Hill |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Last Heart |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tudors Charge |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Judge Parker |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Curlinate |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Capital Letters |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Gotta Curlin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Match Play |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sutton Impact |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Candy for Three |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Family Code |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fusaichi Flame |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Archie |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Zimmerman |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Paxos |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Overanalyzfakenews |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Driller |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
E Rated |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alexandros |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smellin Candy |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oprah’s Ranger |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catch Me If U Can |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Say It Softly |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Essie’s Reward |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Between the Arches |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Take Aletter Maria |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Wrightaway |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Linda Listen |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trintrin |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Silver Turns Gold |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spunky Town |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Johnny the Jet |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Forze Mau (VEN) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sammy Wonder Stone |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Allidoisdreamofyou |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamondmaze |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mud Light |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tarpys Zapper |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Emmett’s Dream |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Primal |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Babadoook |
1.20 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Suspicious Eyes |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gone Dancing |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Too Hamazing |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blanco Bronco |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Caddo Daddo |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pearlthirtyeight |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trophy Road |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chief Daaher |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trophy Daddy |
30.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Reverend Don |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Show Biz |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Superior’s Boy |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Home It Tiz |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Downtowner |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lethal Move |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Defender |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Call West |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Long Gray Line |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hard to Park |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rock City Roadhog |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Redneck Attack |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guska Mon Shoes |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Weast Hill |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
K J’s Nobility |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jack Be Quick |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Suspect a Storm |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joan’s Delight |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
The Paper Wazoo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Ronamo |
3.50 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Rising Star |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
New Year’s Luck |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bring the Dough |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cliff’s Place |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Auctioneer |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Treasure Trove |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Painted Canyon |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Shell Fire |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.