April 7, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Unbridled Ethos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rinse and Repeat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nap Lajoie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | The Street Fighter | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Continental Divide | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Set Ruler | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cono | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lostintranzlation | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Feeling Strong | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mobou | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plain Wrap | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brave Helios | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast as Cass | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Cobra | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Two Minutes | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annie’s Candy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Stalk Me | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough But Nice | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy the Juice | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Withholding Info | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Convince | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sutro | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zusha | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaydetre | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prima Valentina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Peter’s Kitten | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gratzie (GB) | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Animosity | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sapphire Kid | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trust Fund Kitty | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Guiliana (FR) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Hunter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Soul Streit | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | There and Back | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Adens Dream | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coil Me Home | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Passionate Reward | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Paddock Pick | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy Cornell | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dieci | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fright Night | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Samurai Jack | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jack’s a Diva | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fortnite Dance | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calder Vale | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | John’s Intuition | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vezuchiy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sky Glory | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mad At Money | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Herdsman | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Derby Storm | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meadway | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Souter (GB) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sejo (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starting Bloc | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Lemonraid | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lazzam (GB) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accountability | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maestro Dearte | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Musketier | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams of Valor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Move Over (GB) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Show It N Moe It | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Tree | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emboldened | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amuse | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Suebee | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectator | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Kitty | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Proton | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Royalty | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danuska’s My Girl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tastemaker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sooner Better | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Aussie Fox | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Ghost | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Single Me Out | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scrambled | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dawood | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Armed Wall | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zorich | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Jones | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caecilius | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.