April 7, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Biddy Duke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kimari | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yougotanotion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Vi Vi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Two More Times | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Palace Duchess | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Competitive Queen | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Kertara | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Secretly Wicked | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Flashy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Crowning Queen | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11A | 7 | Broke Financing | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver Giant | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Strut the Ring | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Frogman Mel | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unstabled | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Keyed On Top | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solar Maximus | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peekacho | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Garey Park | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cookies Are Good | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life Mission | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Third Edition | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Rock Says | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Red Sorrell | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lisbon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Beautiful Wall | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bar Harbor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exult | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lookin High | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pressonregardless | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Jake | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flawless Bourbon | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Medallion | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Synergized | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Hellorhighwater | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Tell Your Daddy | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grove Daddy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild One Forever | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Man | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Now Rand | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Counselor | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holly Blame | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gambit | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Daddy Factor | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roan Like the Wind | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Postimpressionist | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Combination | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sniper Shot | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pole Setter | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sixth Sense | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Bit Kid | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Front Office | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R One | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Borracho | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Ankeny | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Than A. P. | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | He’s No Bull | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Misterbluesky | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Family Tree (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Watch Me Whip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Farat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kulin Rock | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Believeinholidays | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Cozy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Argonne | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fashion Decree | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hierarchy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chasin Charlie | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Tea Time | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Botswana | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Valycove | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Elgar | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Power Gal (JPN) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Beas | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Rain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mother Mother | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Another Time | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fancy Dress Party | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Feedback | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Iva | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clause | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princesa Carolina | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Mackem Bullet (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Alessandra | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Joker | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Legacy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Envelope | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catch a Thrill | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regal Glory | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Primela (FR) | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Ballad | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Passion Play | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Light of the World | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Cadet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Coworker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Runnin’ Ray | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unveiling | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Superfly | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Up | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bandon Woods | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freefall | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sole Seeker | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whata Show Off | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burn and Turn | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Red Rover | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.