April 4, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Play Money | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Flame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flicflac | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Unusually Handsome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sir Eddie | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sidepocket Action | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hit the Seam | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Appreciated | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | General Mo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | First in Show | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bob’s Sniper | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Juggles | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gooch Express | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Jen Go Unchained | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monydontspenitself | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Turf | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Soot | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Me Twice | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Scotty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Macho Run | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harrovian | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Finallygotabentley | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Palaleo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Drink | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Railman | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Five | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Valor | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mica Bay | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shared | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean (AUS) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hackberry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lomu | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T Bones Trick | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Keystone Field | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Camp | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Calabasas | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pointed | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Todos Santos | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinnamon Twist | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dragon Flower | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Rachel | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blooming Hannah | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party Hostess | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asem | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Filly Can Dream | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Contagion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vantastic | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Mandate | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rijeka (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Urban Light (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Order and Law | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shining Through | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forestation | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Irish Heatwave | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Tale | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sea’s Journey | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard to Come Home | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Soul Owner | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Friday’s At Shady | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pig Iron | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indi Luck | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sterling’s Temple | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tak’in the Red Eye | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Parker | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Square Peggy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wandering Patrol | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hot On the Trail | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moonshine Annie | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Thalia | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Be Lifted Up | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | An Eddie Surprise | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Drop the Mic | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shylock Eddie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Voluptuous | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Charmingslew | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.