Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 31, 2019

March 31, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moondance Joy 1.40 1.5 3-1
1 1 Elizabeth Nicole 1.20 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ribbonite 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Moment of Triumph 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Yourcreditisgood 5.00 2.4 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Platinum Nugget 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Connolly’s Beads 1.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Quintarelli 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Ridolfo 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Millionaire Joe 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Dark Money 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Quick Snap 30.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shimmering Moon 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Flash 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Play Me a Memory 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Aunt Babe 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bestinthebusiness 8.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Red Zinger 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 I Saw It All 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Daring Disguise 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Laughing Manners 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Seed Money 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Gongheifatchoy 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Pay the Vet 15.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 She’sakittykat 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Laur Net 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Devilish Romance 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 My Girl Annie 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Gobi 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Havana Affair 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Preziosa 12.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brockthebank 1.20 1.3 3-1
3 3 Early Retirement 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Bank Gala 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Ventus 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Prince Halo 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Mounted Cop 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Seven Plus Seven 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Wilson’s Holiday 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bustin Shout 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Questeq 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Trouble for Skylar 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Hexameter 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Jump for Joy 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Ragtime Suzy 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 My Lightnin Strike 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Promise Me Roses 3.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maddie May S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shelley Ann 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Elegant Zip 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Flush 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Pat’s No Fool 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Wadadli Princess 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Maiden Beauty 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Intoxicologist 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Today Comes Once 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Cheatham Hill 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Saratoga Style 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bustin Scones 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kid Is Frosty 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sarahrini 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Three Birds 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 9 Quietude 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ja’s Malibu 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Tappanzee 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Fair Lassie 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mary’s Girl 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Pennys From Heaven 20.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.