March 30, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | The Craic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Princess Roi | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ficanas (GB) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nice Ice | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catoca | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Merger Arbitrage | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Blame Judy | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart of the Nile | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nomizar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Lubie | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Querelle | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thousand Oaks (FR) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischief Miss | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smuggler Union | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Ferguson | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Facts Matter | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Sequoia | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ayacara (GB) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | For the Hustle | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Groom | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spend It | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Neighborhood Bully | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiz a Master | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Track | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Validity | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Portal Creek | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rather Nosy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blew by You | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Ice Storm | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Klaus | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boolicious | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Laureana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Honeyfromthesouth | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Ava’s Union | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie Arroway | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Joy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vangogo | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zest | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss My Rose | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | She Rocks the Look | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Carressa | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sybil’s Kitty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catapult | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Shares | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Boyne (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ohio (BRZ) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Carlos S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Dorr | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ax Man | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Joe Bay | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kanthaka | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solid Wager | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touching Rainbows | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zatter | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Santa Ana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tell Me More | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streak of Luck | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lynne’s Legacy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stradella Road | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poster Girl (GB) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | India Mantuana | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nero | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Huerfano | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Game | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popular Kid | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kenjisstorm | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheer Flattery | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepe Tono | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Strike | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morse Code | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Beholder Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Selcourt | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marley’s Freedom | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Woods | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Spice | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mopotism | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Smidge | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exuberance | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ameerah B | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Heathers Grey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Sexy Munny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Posit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Holly Hundy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Claudelle | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hello Bubbles | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Enamored | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Shirimp | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harmless | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Confidently | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cairo Kiss | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shanghai Truffles | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Clochard Street | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.