March 23, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hashtag Speed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Malasong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Knockalittlelouder | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saint William | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fats | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Outlaw X. | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Nite Out | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cypriano | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quest for Avette | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mr. Production | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Trevilion | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swinging Galaxy | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crescentcitypretty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fugitive Lady | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Fantasy | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodprofit | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wildcat Indian | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cicada’s Song | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune Got Even | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New Orleans Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Homefieldadvantage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vagabond Princess | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flower Party (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Mamba | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sensitive | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hey Niki | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Sola Ranger | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coachwhip | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Makeithappen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Pal Torres | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Aaron’s Bluff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Bella Brown | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Charge the Line | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masterly | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | State Treasurer | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queeten | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outofthisgalaxy | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Greeley Went West | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Temprano | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Passport Required | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Street Dazzle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gold Standard | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple City Terror | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meghan | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freudian Finish | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Be Nimble | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allonge | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Champagn | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cirrusly | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Leah Angel (GB) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Fever | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princesa Blanca | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anima | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Whats Yur Story | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Trick of the Tail | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Witted | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shang | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inspector Eddie | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Power Jet | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimi’s a Star | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cabo’s Rumor | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Ruler | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Jus Lively | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silver King | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crocodile Jacques | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Four Sevens | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Changi | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Cowboys Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Firewater Jake | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crafty Daddy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Force | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock On Kitten | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exchequer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Authority | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jazzy Justin | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loveatturkeyclub | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candizar | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Slippy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hitch | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Merlin’s Song | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stage Ready | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Seek the Peak | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Painted Canyon | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Flatout Winner | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Wise | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Wok N Roll | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Copper King | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Solomonic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fairway Magic | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Chocolates | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coworker | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tony Small | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moment | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Parade Field | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proschema | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bandit Swanson | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Violent Ways | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wild Bert | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Win Lion Win | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Run | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Afleet Ascent | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Monte Man | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In the Navy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fame Feather | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 14 | Divine Bean | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wild About Star | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Treys Midnite Moon | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risky Steps | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | A Song for Arch | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Roger Brown | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | B B Special | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – New Orleans H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Noble Commander | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mo Dont No | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bandua | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silver Dust | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lone Sailor | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Souper Tapit | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Copper Bullet | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noble Indy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Buff | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Core Beliefs | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Krewe Chief | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Premio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Final Copy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silver Dust | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bandua | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Synchrony | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divisidero | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bricks and Mortar | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Springs | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Inspector Lynley | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Markitoff | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crescentcitypretty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Serengeti Empress | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Band | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Liora | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedette | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eres Tu | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Diane | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slewgoodtobetrue | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | War of Will | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roiland | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sueno | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemniscate | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country House | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | By My Standards | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Limonite | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spinoff | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Money | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hog Creek Hustle | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bankit | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.