March 23, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rogue Nation | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Borsa Vento | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Orpheus (ARG) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Pigeon | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Domain | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenyan | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Claire’s Kitty | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Jen Brady | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Speed | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Crossing | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Sky | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Third Card Down | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Judge Stanton | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Givetheman a Cigar | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turbulence | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invest | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lorcan | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golconda | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lettercarrierhenry | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taptaptap | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greg King of Kool | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Andrew | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evan | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizanoxbow | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giant Sandy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnesite | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mysterioustraveler | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avast Matey | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peter’s Project | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Too Fast to Pass | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zap Zap Zap | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Thicket | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimateenticement | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gongheifatchoy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ginger and Jingle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Straphanger | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mungoose | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Central Time | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Brothers | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fotis | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune’s Boy | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Five Night Freddie | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Command | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Wind | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | What a Catch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ark in the Dark | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Equal the Score | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | High Roller | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Discreet Mission | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Swiping Dan | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wushu Warrior | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thefinalcrazydude | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Proximate to Power | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cicada S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gracetown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fangirl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Stonesintheroad | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forgotten Hero | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Imperial | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Workaholic | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Guacamole | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Two Dozen Roses | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Alana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Icy Maneuvers | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My First Gal | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Here Comes Helen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Expense | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peggy Sue | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mia Bella | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ferncourt | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.