March 22, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cohete Rojo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | West Texas | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Malpais | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Distant Shore | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Production | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Rosie | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Casual Cool | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Compromising | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backstage Star | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Banana | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meg and Clair | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Say Yes Again | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lagniappe | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule Taylor Rule | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sucre | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onetwomanyrockets | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raising the Ante | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kris T. | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nippy Red | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Chase | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I B Revolutionery | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point the Way | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Willie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looking for Bull | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No More for U | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jennovodka | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Buggy Brown | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jake the Band Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Blue Note | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Blaze | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Youdge | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carson Kan | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Bravo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | About Our Time | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Voodoo Spell | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elkhorn Poet | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s Pegasus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Queen E | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Over Tipped | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Safe Keeping | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freakenstein | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Galaxy Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Girls Rule | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | X Minus One | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cindy Marie | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Myositis Mystique | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Aint Annie Grand | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | On My Toes | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Behold the Queen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 13 | My Pepper Ann | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Havinfunyet | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Cinnamon Diva | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hopette | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Trust in Diane | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Catty Krys | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lunarstrike | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Performer | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Ellie Girl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lady Quality | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goddess of Kip | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Love to Singh | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Zippy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Marco Mischief | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zenucci | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Talk | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maga Man | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Creed | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin’ Truth | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | General Tone | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Blindness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | She’s Divine | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Bit | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keeneasabean | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nerissa | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sissy’s Kitten | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tupelo Hon E | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gioblast | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delfina | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love That Goose | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spun Line | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Runner | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mardi Gras Parade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Whistling Harper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Binds Fair Lass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Deal Fever | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Lil Ms Bossy Pants | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Mega Rose | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ballerina Boogie | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Untuttable Speed | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lassie’s Last Hour | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Boston Crider | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.