March 20, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Full Fleet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Twist | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glitz N Glam | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Yankee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salute My Lady | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kelley’s Dream | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Miley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | X Minus One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Matt’s Honey | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Gray | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strong Patriot | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soco Unbridled | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oh Bette | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wisconsin | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rexdale | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Paradise Reunion | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady’s Tribute | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maddy’s Pro | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pinch Assault | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freakonthelead | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Nasty Time | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whoajoey | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Twice | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weidenbachers Gent | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Saponi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Victory Trip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Buckets | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kat’s Pop | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Titanium Pledge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Typhoon Tycoon | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asongforyou | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Ridge | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Repo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boston Bind | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beto | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley’s Banker | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Marvin | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brother Richie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Liz | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Schooner | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Analyze This Cat | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Skies | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kaylie’s Boots | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chainmail | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhoda’s Jewell | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Singmebackhome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Divine Quality | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Charge Annie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bronco Sally | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Jilly | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delachaise | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Red Rose | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Russian Mafia | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fun Paddy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rubus | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Augustine | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Rumor | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Darcy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Swing | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Private Party | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailing Solo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jake the Band Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Countach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bam Bam Bryan | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zendelphian | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Rosso | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Future Ruler | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alex’s Turn | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiddlers Farewell | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliant Interest | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistling Wind | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Creole | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Run Rocket | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Speedactus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Man Camp | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palmy’s Legacy | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adrenaline | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quisty Boy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | He’s No Bully | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brush With Caution | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mythic’s Patriot | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Friend of Dubai | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fiery Flash | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Behinda Angel | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St Basil | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Comebackwilson | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.